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Japan’s trap

The economic situation in Japan is not looking good. After years of trying Sinzo Abe’s economic plan known as the three arrows, to revitalize economic growth and stabilize prices following years of deflation, the current combination of growth and inflation is not showing the desired results: the last revision of annual gdp showed a contraction of 1.8%, and inflation is trending down, consistent with an economic slowdown, showing signs of stagflation, with additional headwinds thanks to a massive debt to gdp ratio and a weakening currency. The BoJ has slowed down its money printing program to defend the yield curve, only to keep printing money to defend the Yen against all the macro funds that see there is no easy way out.


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