Positioning

This is one of the busiest weeks of the year, with the Israeli - Iranian conflict escalating, while the G7 meeting takes place in Canada, and the FOMC meeting for June concluding tomorrow with the decision on interest rates. On top of that, we have the OBBB, the deficit, the debt and the trade negotiations with China. How do you invest in this period? In the chart below you have a survey answered by independent advisors on how they are allocating their clients money in this environment. The bottom line: advisors are selling US stocks, buying European ones, and raising cash. They are still increasing fixed income allocations, and there is a relatively modest increase in commodities and Crypto, but nothing massive. The biggest theme appears to be the rotation from US to Europe, and in terms of behavior, not represented in the chart, is the Buy-the-dip mentality that has worked so well over the last 15 years. We need more than a liberation day shock to change behavior.

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Source: interactive brokers